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Luck Doesn't Exist

I hear people talk about luck a lot. Straightup - luck doesn't exist.

If you believe in luck, then you believe either: (1) some people consistently defy probability, or, (2) some things aren't a result of cause and effect.

Life is a series of probability. Every day, there's a chance that a given set of things will happen. If you want to have a successful life, expose yourself to as much high-upside low-downside probability as you can. Any given thing you do might not work out, but if you expose yourself to high-upside low-downside, good things will happen. Read books, reach out to people, try to get projects working, keep trying to write and build things, keep learning new skills, keep treating people well.

If you want to fail at life, expose yourself to high-downside no-upside probability. This is short term gain at long term expense type stuff. Cigarettes. Unsecured debt for consumption. Most TV.

You'll keep getting "lucky" if you keep exposing yourself to things with upside and limited downside. If you get an amazing job or contract that you had a 1 in 1,000 chance of getting, were you lucky? No, especially not if you applied and pitched 1,000 other places. If you say, "Ok, I'm going to keep trying to get what I want until I do" you'll get it, as long as it's a positive sum game you're playing.

Streams of Income vs. Just Getting Some Cash

Was having lunch today with a friend of mine who is a fantastically entrepreneurial, smart, skilled, massively hard-working, and has done some amazing things in his life.

But lately, his cash has dried up.

We talked about it, and it turns out he's doing something mentally that I did quite a lot in the past -- often to my detriment.

I was focused on doing "very high value activities" -- by some abstract standard of my own -- and often neglected to get what seemed like small amounts of cash.

My friend is doing the same thing. He's looking for "streams of income"; not "just getting some cash."

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